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Guidance for 2019

Published on November 1, 2019 in connection with the Interim report January-September 2019

Guidance for 2019

The Group revenue of continuing operations for 2019 is estimated to be in the range of +6% and +2% compared to the 2018 combined revenue of continuing operations (pro forma, restated 2018: EUR 3,201.0 million). Previously the company estimated the revenue in 2019 to be in the range of +5% and -3% compared to 2018.

In 2019, the adjusted operating profit of continuing operations is estimated to be EUR 160-185 million (pro forma, restated 2018: EUR 132.0 million). Previously the company estimated the adjusted operating profit of continuing operations in 2019 to be EUR 160-200 million.

Guidance rationale

The result guidance for 2019 is based, for instance, on the estimated time of completion of residential projects under construction and the company’s solid order backlog. At the end of September, 78% of the order backlog was sold.

Significant fluctuation is expected to take place between the quarters due to normal seasonal variation, closing of sales of business premises projects, the timing of completion of residential projects and the fair valuation of Mall of Tripla. As in 2018, the last quarter of the year is expected to be clearly the strongest. The company estimates that the adjusted operating profit for the fourth quarter of 2019 will increase from the comparison period (pro forma, restated 10-12/2018: EUR 99.3 million).

Factors affecting the guidance

The most significant factors with which YIT can meet the market demand are sales and pricing, project and project risk management, product development and product offering, measures to reduce production costs, cost management and measures affecting capital efficiency.

Factors outside of YIT’s sphere of influence are mainly related to global economic development, functionality of financing markets and interest rate, political environment, economic development in areas of operation, changes in demand for apartments and business premises, availability of resources such as key persons, functionality of labour markets, changes in public and private sector investments and changes in legislation, permit and authorisation processes and the duration thereof, as well as development of foreign exchange rates.

Due to the long-term nature of construction and urban development projects, changes in demand may be quicker than the company's ability to adapt its offering.